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預測歷史

Market #561234

8/14/2026, 06:00:40 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 到期前 當前價 12.8¢

No clear edge versus the current price; orderbook support is real but not enough to justify a trade. Long horizon and political uncertainty dominate short-term signals.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Price near 12.8% with tight spread · Orderbook bid imbalance favors Yes · Recent move is small and mostly range-bound
Yes 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -1% 置信度 61%

Rubio is priced around 12.8%, and while there is some bid support, the market has stayed near-flat with no strong catalyst. The high-profile GOP field and long election horizon make the current price look slightly rich rather than underpriced.