Yes → 0% 2026/9/17 18:02:42
The price trend and orderbook imbalance support Yes, but the 0.89–0.90 market level leaves no clear measurable edge. Revisit after major election indicators or a meaningful repricing.
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
模型方向
暫無方向
觀望：價格接近合理值執行狀態
觀察
模型偏差 Yes → 0%
置信度 66%
模型運行時價格 90¢ 模型運行: 2026/9/17 18:02:42
即時最佳賣價 90¢ 即時更新: 2026/9/17 20:46:44
模型 OpenAI
Yes is priced near 0.90 with strong recent upward momentum and substantial liquidity, but the market already appears to incorporate this favorable pricing. No reliable divergence from fair value is evident; reassess if new polling, economic, or political information materially shifts House control odds.
觀察觸發點
- Major polling shift
- Material change in presidential approval
- Price moves below 0.85 or above 0.95
為何暫不行動
Yes is priced near 0.90 with strong recent upward momentum and substantial liquidity, but the market already appears to incorporate this favorable pricing. No reliable divergence from fair value is evident; reassess if new polling, economic, or political information materially shifts House control odds.
重新評估條件
Major polling shift · Material change in presidential approval · Price moves below 0.85 or above 0.95
執行約束
價格 90¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $1,096,268。模型觀點僅供研究，請結合即時盤口獨立核實。
概要
更新時間 2026/9/17 20:46:44
模型觀點
觀察最佳賣價 ?
90¢24h 成交量 ?
$42,799流動性 ?
$1,096,268未平倉量 ?
$4,030,369價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
-54.4%動量 ?
1.1%波動率 ?
0.1%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
89¢ 80,109.62
88¢ 91,868.16
87¢ 194,798.7
86¢ 381,926
85¢ 104,308.21
賣盤
90¢ 172,129.52
91¢ 134,630.62
92¢ 63,805.1
93¢ 2,506,232.76
94¢ 7,883.3
價格歷史
區間: 6h
2026/9/17 20:21:13 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:23:14 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:25:14 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:27:13 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:29:14 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:31:13 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:33:09 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:35:13 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:37:12 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:39:13 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:41:28 89.5¢
2026/9/17 20:42:13 89.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes → 0% 2026/9/17 12:03:10
Market structure is supportive but largely consistent with the current price, so no clear mispricing is detected.
Yes → 0% 2026/9/17 06:03:19
Pricing appears broadly consistent with the available orderbook and history, but uncertainty remains high because the election is distant.
Yes → 0% 2026/9/17 00:02:20
Current pricing appears broadly efficient: recent momentum and bid depth support Yes, but the elevated price and substantial time until the election leave no clear valuation divergence.
Yes ↓ -2% 2026/9/16 18:01:53
Yes appears modestly above estimated fair value, but the edge is small and the market is highly liquid.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交賣出 · No 2026/9/17 15:19:39
$7,530 88¢