模型觀點 觀察 時間尺度
中線 當前價
56¢
Yes is priced near 56%, while strong positive momentum across the 1-hour to 1-week windows and substantially greater bid depth indicate improving demand. These signals support a modestly higher fair probability, though election uncertainty and limited fundamental context constrain confidence.
說明 edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
觸發點 Sustained Yes price above 0.57 · One-day momentum turns negative · Major polling shift
Yes 看漲 ↑ 預測偏差
+2% 置信度
58%
Yes is priced near 56%, while strong positive momentum across the 1-hour to 1-week windows and substantially greater bid depth indicate improving demand. These signals support a modestly higher fair probability, though election uncertainty and limited fundamental context constrain confidence.