Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 12:03:19
Yes appears overpriced versus recent trend and deep ask-side liquidity; market may continue to mean-revert lower absent new Yamal dominance news.
統一市場視圖
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀察觸發點
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -3%
置信度 74%
模型運行時價格 21.9¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 12:03:19
即時最佳賣價 21.5¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 17:47:20
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Yes appears overpriced versus recent trend and deep ask-side liquidity; market may continue to mean-revert lower absent new Yamal dominance news.
觀察觸發點
- 1w price down 3.4 pts
- Orderbook asks far heavier than bids
- No fresh positive momentum
為何暫不行動
Yes appears overpriced versus recent trend and deep ask-side liquidity; market may continue to mean-revert lower absent new Yamal dominance news.
重新評估條件
1w price down 3.4 pts · Orderbook asks far heavier than bids · No fresh positive momentum
執行約束
價格 21.5¢ · 價差 0.1 pts · 流動性 $192,660。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 17:47:20
操作建議
賣出最佳賣價 ?
21.5¢24h 成交量 ?
$11,835流動性 ?
$192,660未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
0.1¢深度不平衡 ?
-48.5%動量 ?
-2.3%波動率 ?
0.1%趨勢斜率 ?
-0原因
- 動量下行
- 賣盤深度占優
- 價差不大（<=2¢）
規則說明
- 動量 = 選定區間內的價格變化，負值代表下行。
- 深度不平衡比較買賣盤總量，負值代表賣盤占優。
- 價差 = 最佳賣價 - 最佳買價，越小越容易進出。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
21.4¢ 1,214.13
21.3¢ 2,250
21.2¢ 3,101.09
21.1¢ 300
21¢ 5,454.09
賣盤
21.5¢ 94.83
21.7¢ 21,504.9
21.8¢ 600
22¢ 12,637.17
22.5¢ 660
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 17:24:12 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:26:09 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:28:22 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:30:12 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:32:08 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:34:11 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:36:08 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:38:10 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:40:12 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:42:10 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:44:08 21.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:45:11 21.45¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 06:02:41
The current price looks a bit rich relative to recent price action and orderbook pressure, so fading Yes has slight positive expectancy.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 00:03:07
Current price appears efficient versus the recent drift and orderbook; no strong mispricing stands out.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/2/2026, 18:02:40
Price is efficient near 0.21 with a tight spread and no clear catalyst. Slight bearish tilt on Yes is not strong enough to warrant a trade.
Yes ↑ +1% 8/2/2026, 12:03:05
There is only a small positive edge and the market has recently drifted lower; liquidity is decent but current pricing already reflects much of the baseline chance.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。