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預測歷史

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

2026/9/23 06:01:21 OpenAI
模型觀點 觀察 時間尺度 短線 當前價 78.5¢

Yes is priced near 78.5%, while the recent six-hour decline and substantial ask-side depth suggest modest near-term overpricing. Strong weekly momentum supports the underlying case, so the estimated edge is small and uncertain.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Break above 0.81 · Fall below 0.76 · Material polling or candidate news
Yes 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -0% 置信度 43%

Yes is priced near 78.5%, while the recent six-hour decline and substantial ask-side depth suggest modest near-term overpricing. Strong weekly momentum supports the underlying case, so the estimated edge is small and uncertain.