Yes ↑ +2% 8/3/2026, 12:02:08
Current price appears close to fair value with only a small positive edge and no strong catalyst from history or orderbook.
統一市場視圖
Fed rate hike in 2026?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀望：價格接近合理值
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↑ +2%
置信度 55%
模型運行時價格 67¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 12:02:08
即時最佳賣價 68¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 17:49:09
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Current price appears close to fair value with only a small positive edge and no strong catalyst from history or orderbook.
觀察觸發點
- Tight 1-cent spread
- Balanced but bid-leaning depth
- Flat intraday history
為何暫不行動
Current price appears close to fair value with only a small positive edge and no strong catalyst from history or orderbook.
重新評估條件
Tight 1-cent spread · Balanced but bid-leaning depth · Flat intraday history
執行約束
價格 68¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $246,904。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 17:49:09
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
68¢24h 成交量 ?
$60,833流動性 ?
$246,904未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
18.3%動量 ?
0.0%波動率 ?
0.0%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
67¢ 21,704.27
66¢ 63,035.88
65¢ 47,777.42
64¢ 29,000.13
63¢ 5,223.11
賣盤
68¢ 75,256.91
69¢ 27,434.88
70¢ 10,006.05
71¢ 2,234
72¢ 134
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 17:25:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:27:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:29:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:31:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:33:09 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:35:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:37:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:39:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:41:08 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:43:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:45:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:46:10 67.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 06:02:15
Slight negative edge versus the current Yes price and strong ask-side pressure make fading the current level modestly attractive.
Yes ↑ +2% 8/3/2026, 00:02:26
Price is near fair value with tight spread and balanced book; any edge is too small to justify a directional trade.
Yes ↓ -2% 8/2/2026, 18:02:46
No strong mispricing: Yes trades near fair value with balanced liquidity and muted short-term momentum.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/2/2026, 12:03:11
The Yes contract looks a bit overpriced relative to the current information set, with momentum easing and no clear catalyst for a near-term repricing higher.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · Yes 8/2/2026, 22:06:11
$12,089 67¢