Yes ↓ -2% 8/3/2026, 18:02:53
Spread is tight and the market is near fair value with only a small bearish lean on Yes. No clear mispricing or catalyst stands out enough to justify a trade.
統一市場視圖
Fed rate hike in 2026?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀望：價格接近合理值
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -2%
置信度 58%
模型運行時價格 67¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 18:02:53
即時最佳賣價 68¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 18:51:32
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Spread is tight and the market is near fair value with only a small bearish lean on Yes. No clear mispricing or catalyst stands out enough to justify a trade.
觀察觸發點
- Yes trades near 0.67 with tight spread
- 1w price fell from 0.715 to 0.675
- Orderbook only modestly favors bids
為何暫不行動
Spread is tight and the market is near fair value with only a small bearish lean on Yes. No clear mispricing or catalyst stands out enough to justify a trade.
重新評估條件
Yes trades near 0.67 with tight spread · 1w price fell from 0.715 to 0.675 · Orderbook only modestly favors bids
執行約束
價格 68¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $251,511。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 18:51:32
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
68¢24h 成交量 ?
$57,467流動性 ?
$251,511未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
21.1%動量 ?
0.0%波動率 ?
0.0%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
67¢ 31,325.7
66¢ 64,499.88
65¢ 46,048.96
64¢ 29,015.13
63¢ 5,223.11
賣盤
68¢ 75,122.08
69¢ 27,918.34
70¢ 9,287.05
71¢ 2,234
72¢ 134
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 18:30:11 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:32:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:34:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:36:08 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:38:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:40:20 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:42:09 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:44:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:46:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:48:10 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:50:09 67.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:51:09 67.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↑ +2% 8/3/2026, 12:02:08
Current price appears close to fair value with only a small positive edge and no strong catalyst from history or orderbook.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 06:02:15
Slight negative edge versus the current Yes price and strong ask-side pressure make fading the current level modestly attractive.
Yes ↑ +2% 8/3/2026, 00:02:26
Price is near fair value with tight spread and balanced book; any edge is too small to justify a directional trade.
Yes ↓ -2% 8/2/2026, 18:02:46
No strong mispricing: Yes trades near fair value with balanced liquidity and muted short-term momentum.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。