Model stance Watch Horizon
Medium-term Current price
12.3¢
The Yes price is 12.3%, while strong bid-side depth and a substantial multi-day rebound suggest modestly higher implied probability, around 14%. The recent one-hour pullback and long time to expiry limit conviction.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Price sustains above 14% · New qualifying PortWatch data · Price falls below 10%
Yes bullish ↑ Edge
+2% Confidence
56%
The Yes price is 12.3%, while strong bid-side depth and a substantial multi-day rebound suggest modestly higher implied probability, around 14%. The recent one-hour pullback and long time to expiry limit conviction.