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Prediction history

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

9/25/2026, 18:00:45 OpenAI
Model stance Watch Horizon Short-term Current price 24.5¢

Estimated probability is about 22%, slightly below the 24.5% midpoint. The sharp recent repricing and heavier ask depth support a modest bearish lean, but no catalyst is provided, so the edge is uncertain.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Verified team news that materially shifts title chances. · Price stabilizes and orderbook depth becomes balanced. · A sustained reversal in the recent repricing.
Yes bearish ↓ Edge -2% Confidence 35%

Estimated probability is about 22%, slightly below the 24.5% midpoint. The sharp recent repricing and heavier ask depth support a modest bearish lean, but no catalyst is provided, so the edge is uncertain.