Model stance Watch Horizon
Medium-term Current price
83¢
Yes is priced near 0.83, while the model assigns roughly 0.81 probability. The recent rebound and strong bid depth provide support, but the one-day and one-week trends remain materially negative, leaving modest downside risk.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Reassess if Yes sustains above 0.86 · Reassess after major arena leaderboard updates · Reassess if Yes falls below 0.76
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-2% Confidence
55%
Yes is priced near 0.83, while the model assigns roughly 0.81 probability. The recent rebound and strong bid depth provide support, but the one-day and one-week trends remain materially negative, leaving modest downside risk.