Unified market view

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Philadelphia Phillies → 0%

Confidence 94%

Price at model run 99.9¢ Model run: 8/3/2026, 12:00:54

Live best ask 99.8¢ Live update: 8/3/2026, 17:45:32

Model gpt-5.4-mini

The Phillies are priced near 1.00, leaving no actionable upside and very limited tradable edge.

Watch triggers

Best bid/last trade at 0.999
Spread is only 0.001
Heavy orderbook imbalance but price already maxed

Why not now

The Phillies are priced near 1.00, leaving no actionable upside and very limited tradable edge.

Revisit when

Best bid/last trade at 0.999 · Spread is only 0.001 · Heavy orderbook imbalance but price already maxed

Execution guard

Price 99.8¢ · spread 1.3 pts · liquidity $9,769. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/3/2026, 17:45:32

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

99.8¢

Volume (24h) ?

$252,662

Liquidity ?

$9,769

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.7¢

Depth imbalance ?

38.1%

Momentum ?

-0.8%

Volatility ?

0.1%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

No strong edge detected

Rule notes

No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Philadelphia Phillies

Bids

99.1¢ 21.47

99¢ 25,000

98.5¢ 590.9

98.4¢ 30

98.3¢ 396.85

Asks

99.8¢ 183.62

99.9¢ 11,483.54

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/3/2026, 17:21:07 99.65¢

8/3/2026, 17:23:09 99.65¢

8/3/2026, 17:25:09 99.65¢

8/3/2026, 17:27:09 99.65¢

8/3/2026, 17:29:09 99.65¢

8/3/2026, 17:31:09 99.65¢

8/3/2026, 17:33:08 99.65¢

8/3/2026, 17:35:08 99.65¢

8/3/2026, 17:37:09 99.15¢

8/3/2026, 17:39:08 99.15¢

8/3/2026, 17:41:07 99.15¢

8/3/2026, 17:42:08 99.15¢

Prediction history

Full history

Philadelphia Phillies → 0% 8/3/2026, 12:00:54

The Phillies are priced near 1.00, leaving no actionable upside and very limited tradable edge.

Philadelphia Phillies → 0% 8/3/2026, 06:00:52

No clear edge at a near-certain price; risk/reward is poor and liquidity is already fully reflected in the quote.

Philadelphia Phillies ↑ 0% 8/3/2026, 00:01:03

Price is pinned at the top of the range and the remaining edge is negligible, so buying offers almost no upside and selling is not viable.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.