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Prediction history

Market #3155100

8/3/2026, 18:01:03 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 99.8¢

Current price is too close to the apparent ceiling, so expected upside is minimal and liquidity does not offer a favorable entry.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers bestAsk at 0.998 · bestBid at 0.992 · No detectable edge
Philadelphia Phillies neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 84%

Price is already near-certain at 0.998 with a very tight spread; no meaningful edge remains despite strong recent upward momentum and bid-side support.

8/3/2026, 12:00:54 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 99.9¢

The Phillies are priced near 1.00, leaving no actionable upside and very limited tradable edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid/last trade at 0.999 · Spread is only 0.001 · Heavy orderbook imbalance but price already maxed
Philadelphia Phillies neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 94%

Price is already at the ceiling with extreme bid dominance; no positive edge remains despite strong market consensus.

8/3/2026, 06:00:52 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 99.9¢

No clear edge at a near-certain price; risk/reward is poor and liquidity is already fully reflected in the quote.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid at 0.999 · Best ask at 1.000 · No recent price movement
Philadelphia Phillies neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 98%

Price is already at 0.999 with a 0.001 spread and strong bid depth; no meaningful upside remains and the market is effectively fully priced.

8/3/2026, 00:01:03 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 99.9¢

Price is pinned at the top of the range and the remaining edge is negligible, so buying offers almost no upside and selling is not viable.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers best ask at 1.0 · market price 0.9995 · minimal spread
Philadelphia Phillies bullish ↑ Edge 0% Confidence 99%

Phillies are already priced near certainty at 0.9995 with deep liquidity; there is essentially no remaining mispricing to exploit.