Unified market view

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold

Model edge Yes ↓ -3%

Confidence 64%

Price at model run 9.7¢ Model run: 8/20/2026, 06:01:21

Live best ask 10.2¢ Live update: 8/20/2026, 06:26:37

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Current Yes price looks a bit rich versus the weak Yes-side depth and persistent No dominance.

Watch triggers

Yes best bid only 0.10
No side has dominant depth
Yes orderbook imbalance is weak

Why not now

Current Yes price looks a bit rich versus the weak Yes-side depth and persistent No dominance.

Revisit when

Yes best bid only 0.10 · No side has dominant depth · Yes orderbook imbalance is weak

Execution guard

Price 10.2¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $58,677. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/20/2026, 06:26:37

Signal

Sell

Best ask ?

10.2¢

Volume (24h) ?

$142,530

Liquidity ?

$58,677

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.2¢

Depth imbalance ?

-85.2%

Momentum ?

-5.0%

Volatility ?

1.7%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Momentum turning down
Ask depth outweighs bids
Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; negative means price falling.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; negative means asks dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

10.4¢ 490

10.3¢ 142.79

10.2¢ 814.96

10¢ 153.08

9.7¢ 490

Asks

10.6¢ 15,702

10.7¢ 316.08

11¢ 313.89

11.1¢ 376.64

11.4¢ 9,397.87

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/20/2026, 06:04:13 10.2¢

8/20/2026, 06:06:10 10.2¢

8/20/2026, 06:08:10 10.1¢

8/20/2026, 06:10:17 10.05¢

8/20/2026, 06:12:12 10.2¢

8/20/2026, 06:14:14 10.1¢

8/20/2026, 06:16:13 10.05¢

8/20/2026, 06:18:10 10.15¢

8/20/2026, 06:20:13 10.15¢

8/20/2026, 06:22:10 10.15¢

8/20/2026, 06:24:10 10.45¢

8/20/2026, 06:25:14 10.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Yes ↓ -3% 8/20/2026, 06:01:21

Current Yes price looks a bit rich versus the weak Yes-side depth and persistent No dominance.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.