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Prediction history

Market #3257340

8/20/2026, 06:01:21 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Medium-term Current price 9.7¢

Current Yes price looks a bit rich versus the weak Yes-side depth and persistent No dominance.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Yes best bid only 0.10 · No side has dominant depth · Yes orderbook imbalance is weak
Yes bearish ↓ Edge -3% Confidence 64%

Yes is priced around 0.10, but orderbook favors No heavily and Yes has thin bid depth. Recent drift is modest and the market still implies only a small chance of an intramonth BTC spike to 77,500, which seems slightly overstated.