Michael Zheng ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 12:00:41
Current price looks a bit rich on Zheng and recent flow has been weak; modest downside edge to the long side.
Unified market view
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Hold: Risky tape
Hold
Model edge Michael Zheng ↓ -3%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 55¢ Model run: 8/3/2026, 12:00:41
Live best ask 58¢ Live update: 8/3/2026, 17:45:59
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Current price looks a bit rich on Zheng and recent flow has been weak; modest downside edge to the long side.
Watch triggers
- Zheng bid/ask depth is thinner than Kecmanovic
- 1d price has drifted down from higher levels
- Top-of-book imbalance favors Kecmanovic
Why not now
Current price looks a bit rich on Zheng and recent flow has been weak; modest downside edge to the long side.
Revisit when
Zheng bid/ask depth is thinner than Kecmanovic · 1d price has drifted down from higher levels · Top-of-book imbalance favors Kecmanovic
Execution guard
Price 58¢ · spread 2 pts · liquidity $183,610. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 8/3/2026, 17:45:59
Signal
BuyBest ask ?
58¢Volume (24h) ?
$233,597Liquidity ?
$183,610Open interest ?
—Spread ?
1¢Depth imbalance ?
19.2%Momentum ?
2.7%Volatility ?
0.4%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- Momentum turning up
- Bid depth outweighs asks
- Spread within 2¢
Rule notes
- Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
- Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
- Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.
Orderbook
Outcome Michael Zheng
Bids
56¢ 4.36
55¢ 4,757.51
54¢ 22,080
53¢ 4,576
52¢ 3,391
Asks
57¢ 881
58¢ 4,277.45
59¢ 6,532.99
60¢ 11,391.74
61¢ 501
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/3/2026, 17:21:09 56¢
8/3/2026, 17:23:11 56¢
8/3/2026, 17:25:12 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:27:11 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:29:11 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:31:11 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:33:10 56¢
8/3/2026, 17:35:11 57¢
8/3/2026, 17:37:11 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:39:11 57¢
8/3/2026, 17:41:09 57¢
8/3/2026, 17:42:10 57¢
Prediction history
Full historyMichael Zheng ↓ -1% 8/3/2026, 06:00:46
No clear mispricing: market price is near a fair 60/40 split and recent upward momentum appears already reflected.
Michael Zheng ↑ +2% 8/3/2026, 00:00:54
Momentum favors Zheng, but the current price looks close to fair and the spread reduces conviction.
Related whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.