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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold
Model edge Yes ↓ -3%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 45¢ Model run: 8/9/2026, 12:02:34
Live best ask 45¢ Live update: 8/9/2026, 14:10:38
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Slight downside edge on Yes at current price; book and recent flow favor No more than the price implies.

Watch triggers
  • No bid depth far exceeds Yes
  • Yes ask side is much thicker
  • Short-term Yes trend softened
Why not now

Slight downside edge on Yes at current price; book and recent flow favor No more than the price implies.

Revisit when

No bid depth far exceeds Yes · Yes ask side is much thicker · Short-term Yes trend softened

Execution guard

Price 45¢ · spread 3 pts · liquidity $74,140. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/9/2026, 14:10:38

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

45¢

Volume (24h) ?

$136,432

Liquidity ?

$74,140

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

3¢

Depth imbalance ?

-93.8%

Momentum ?

4.8%

Volatility ?

0.6%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • No strong edge detected

Rule notes

  • No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

42¢ 55.44
41¢ 655.56
40¢ 500
39¢ 620
38¢ 1,237.31

Asks

45¢ 22,935.47
46¢ 51,026.32
47¢ 1,031
48¢ 20,289
49¢ 22

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/9/2026, 13:47:22 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 13:49:11 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 13:51:08 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 13:53:08 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 13:55:11 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 13:57:10 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 13:59:15 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 14:01:11 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 14:03:10 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 14:05:11 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 14:07:08 43.5¢
8/9/2026, 14:08:08 43.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Yes ↓ -3% 8/9/2026, 12:02:34

Slight downside edge on Yes at current price; book and recent flow favor No more than the price implies.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Yes 8/9/2026, 09:35:04
$16,810 42¢
Buy · Yes 8/9/2026, 04:23:13
$16,064 40¢
Sell · No 8/9/2026, 04:01:21
$26,890 62¢