Signal Hold Horizon
Short-term Current price
45¢
Slight downside edge on Yes at current price; book and recent flow favor No more than the price implies.
Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望
Triggers No bid depth far exceeds Yes · Yes ask side is much thicker · Short-term Yes trend softened
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-3% Confidence
58%
Yes is trading near 0.45, but orderbook depth heavily favors No and the short-term history is flat to slightly down for Yes. The recent 24h move is up, yet the current price looks a bit rich versus the market-implied chance of reaching 85.