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Unified market view

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Marta Kostyuk → 0%
Confidence 63%
Price at model run 45¢ Model run: 8/8/2026, 18:00:25
Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/8/2026, 20:08:20
Model gpt-5.4-mini

No durable edge versus the current mid-price; liquidity is strong and the order book is balanced, so the current price looks fair.

Watch triggers
  • Tight 1-cent spread
  • Balanced order book depth
  • Mixed short-term price trend
Why not now

No durable edge versus the current mid-price; liquidity is strong and the order book is balanced, so the current price looks fair.

Revisit when

Tight 1-cent spread · Balanced order book depth · Mixed short-term price trend

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/8/2026, 20:08:20

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,574,519

Liquidity ?

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

77.0%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Marta Kostyuk

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/8/2026, 18:58:09 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:00:10 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:02:10 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:04:07 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:06:10 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:08:09 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:10:10 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:12:10 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:14:26 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:16:10 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:18:10 0.05¢
8/8/2026, 19:20:10 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history
Marta Kostyuk → 0% 8/8/2026, 18:00:25

No durable edge versus the current mid-price; liquidity is strong and the order book is balanced, so the current price looks fair.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.