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Prediction history

Market #3394228

8/8/2026, 18:00:25 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 45¢

No durable edge versus the current mid-price; liquidity is strong and the order book is balanced, so the current price looks fair.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Tight 1-cent spread · Balanced order book depth · Mixed short-term price trend
Marta Kostyuk neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 63%

Market is efficiently priced near 44-45% with tight spread and balanced depth. Recent price action is mixed and does not create a clear mispricing versus the implied matchup strength.