Thiago Agustin Tirante → 0% 8/14/2026, 00:03:23
No clear edge at current price; liquidity is high but the ask is effectively at par, so expected value is negligible.
Unified market view
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Hold: Efficient price
Hold
Model edge Thiago Agustin Tirante → 0%
Confidence 98%
Price at model run 99.9¢ Model run: 8/14/2026, 00:03:23
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/14/2026, 00:37:07
Model gpt-5.4-mini
No clear edge at current price; liquidity is high but the ask is effectively at par, so expected value is negligible.
Watch triggers
- Best ask near 1.0
- Tiny spread
- No detectable mispricing
Why not now
No clear edge at current price; liquidity is high but the ask is effectively at par, so expected value is negligible.
Revisit when
Best ask near 1.0 · Tiny spread · No detectable mispricing
Execution guard
Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 8/14/2026, 00:37:07
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
100¢Volume (24h) ?
$649,740Liquidity ?
—Open interest ?
—Spread ?
0.1¢Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
50.3%Volatility ?
27.1%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Thiago Agustin Tirante
No orderbook data yet.
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/13/2026, 22:43:12 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 22:45:13 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 22:47:09 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 22:49:20 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 22:51:09 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 22:53:13 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 22:55:12 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 22:57:09 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 22:59:26 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 23:01:12 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 23:03:13 99.95¢
8/13/2026, 23:05:14 99.95¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.