Signal Hold Horizon
Short-term Current price
99.9¢
No clear edge at current price; liquidity is high but the ask is effectively at par, so expected value is negligible.
Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望
Triggers Best ask near 1.0 · Tiny spread · No detectable mispricing
Thiago Agustin Tirante neutral → Edge
0% Confidence
98%
Price is already at 0.999 with a 0.001 spread, leaving no meaningful upside versus implied probability; the market appears fully priced.