Yes ↓ -3% 8/25/2026, 12:01:52
Yes appears a bit overbought relative to the current event risk and lack of immediate bullish catalyst.
Unified market view
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Watch trigger
Hold
Model edge Yes ↓ -3%
Confidence 62%
Price at model run 75¢ Model run: 8/25/2026, 12:01:52
Live best ask 75¢ Live update: 8/25/2026, 13:58:02
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Yes appears a bit overbought relative to the current event risk and lack of immediate bullish catalyst.
Watch triggers
- Yes at 0.75
- 1h drift down
- ask depth outweighs bid
Why not now
Yes appears a bit overbought relative to the current event risk and lack of immediate bullish catalyst.
Revisit when
Yes at 0.75 · 1h drift down · ask depth outweighs bid
Execution guard
Price 75¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $65,522. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 8/25/2026, 13:58:02
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
75¢Volume (24h) ?
$115,544Liquidity ?
$65,522Open interest ?
—Spread ?
1¢Depth imbalance ?
-65.3%Momentum ?
2.8%Volatility ?
0.4%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- No strong edge detected
Rule notes
- No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.
Orderbook
Outcome Yes
Bids
74¢ 1,077.59
73¢ 4,680.84
72¢ 3,623.68
71¢ 3,074.75
70¢ 305
Asks
75¢ 16,991.72
76¢ 13,097.53
77¢ 23,812.81
78¢ 6,822.56
79¢ 45
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/25/2026, 13:33:13 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:35:10 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:37:14 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:39:13 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:41:25 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:43:13 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:45:11 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:47:10 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:49:13 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:51:10 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:53:13 74.5¢
8/25/2026, 13:54:13 74.5¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesBuy · Yes 8/25/2026, 10:03:42
$16,560 75¢