Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
75¢
Yes appears a bit overbought relative to the current event risk and lack of immediate bullish catalyst.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Yes at 0.75 · 1h drift down · ask depth outweighs bid
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-3% Confidence
62%
Price 0.75 implies continued non-escalation, but the market is already richly priced and recent drift is only modestly supportive. With the long horizon and no fresh catalyst, I see slightly less than fair value for Yes.