Unified market view

San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Risky tape

Watch

Model edge San Diego Padres ↓ -6%

Confidence 78%

Price at model run 21¢ Model run: 8/29/2026, 00:00:30

Live best ask 6¢ Live update: 8/29/2026, 00:30:17

Model gpt-5.4-mini

The Padres are priced around 0.21, but the recent move and orderbook favor the Rays, with Padres price declining sharply across 1h, 6h, 1d, and 1w windows. The book shows weaker bid-side support for Padres than the opposing side, so the model view is below market despite broad uncertainty and a wide spread.

Watch triggers

Persistent downward price trend
Weak Padres bid depth
Rays-side orderbook strength

Why not now

Revisit when

Persistent downward price trend · Weak Padres bid depth · Rays-side orderbook strength

Execution guard

Price 6¢ · spread 0.8 pts · liquidity $236,739. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 8/29/2026, 00:30:17

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

6¢

Volume (24h) ?

$370,245

Liquidity ?

$236,739

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.8¢

Depth imbalance ?

-18.5%

Momentum ?

-85.6%

Volatility ?

11.9%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Momentum turning down
Ask depth outweighs bids
Spread within 2¢
Volatility too high

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; negative means price falling.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; negative means asks dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.
High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome San Diego Padres

Bids

4.2¢ 174.99

4.1¢ 3,501.82

4¢ 1,862.13

3.9¢ 21,877.66

3.2¢ 90

Asks

5¢ 18,503.59

5.1¢ 1,969

5.2¢ 18,535.19

5.6¢ 1,010

5.7¢ 15

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/29/2026, 00:04:14 8.5¢

8/29/2026, 00:06:24 7.5¢

8/29/2026, 00:08:13 4.5¢

8/29/2026, 00:10:15 3.05¢

8/29/2026, 00:12:13 3.15¢

8/29/2026, 00:14:14 4.25¢

8/29/2026, 00:16:14 9.5¢

8/29/2026, 00:18:14 7.85¢

8/29/2026, 00:20:14 5.4¢

8/29/2026, 00:22:14 6.5¢

8/29/2026, 00:24:14 6.35¢

8/29/2026, 00:25:15 6.4¢

Prediction history

Full history

San Diego Padres ↓ -6% 8/29/2026, 00:00:30

The Padres look above fair value relative to the recent price trend and orderbook pressure.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Tampa Bay Rays 8/28/2026, 21:50:46

$65,739 54¢