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Prediction history

Market #3778088

8/29/2026, 00:00:30 gpt-5.4-mini
Model stance Watch Horizon Short-term Current price 21¢

The Padres are priced around 0.21, but the recent move and orderbook favor the Rays, with Padres price declining sharply across 1h, 6h, 1d, and 1w windows. The book shows weaker bid-side support for Padres than the opposing side, so the model view is below market despite broad uncertainty and a wide spread.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Persistent downward price trend · Weak Padres bid depth · Rays-side orderbook strength
San Diego Padres bearish ↓ Edge -6% Confidence 78%

The Padres are priced around 0.21, but the recent move and orderbook favor the Rays, with Padres price declining sharply across 1h, 6h, 1d, and 1w windows. The book shows weaker bid-side support for Padres than the opposing side, so the model view is below market despite broad uncertainty and a wide spread.