Boston Red Sox ↓ -1% 8/30/2026, 18:00:29
The Red Sox appear slightly overpriced relative to momentum-adjusted fair value, but the tight spread and lack of fundamental data make the divergence modest.
Unified market view
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Hold: Efficient price
Watch
Model edge Boston Red Sox ↓ -1%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 63¢ Model run: 8/30/2026, 18:00:29
Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/30/2026, 20:13:05
Model OpenAI
The current executable midpoint is about 0.485, and the Red Sox price has fallen sharply across the 1-hour and 6-hour windows. Without independent team or starting-pitcher information, the recent move suggests a modestly lower fair probability near 0.475, though the edge is limited.
Watch triggers
- Sustained trading below 0.48
- Confirmed adverse lineup news
- Price recovery above 0.51
Why not now
The current executable midpoint is about 0.485, and the Red Sox price has fallen sharply across the 1-hour and 6-hour windows. Without independent team or starting-pitcher information, the recent move suggests a modestly lower fair probability near 0.475, though the edge is limited.
Revisit when
Sustained trading below 0.48 · Confirmed adverse lineup news · Price recovery above 0.51
Execution guard
Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity $210,267. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 8/30/2026, 20:13:05
Model stance
WatchBest ask ?
0.1¢Volume (24h) ?
$522,564Liquidity ?
$210,267Open interest ?
—Spread ?
—Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
-99.9%Volatility ?
26.3%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Boston Red Sox
Bids
Asks
0.1¢ 132,582.36
0.6¢ 50
0.8¢ 23
0.9¢ 1,900
1¢ 1,022.04
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/30/2026, 19:49:13 0.5¢
8/30/2026, 19:51:12 0.4¢
8/30/2026, 19:53:15 0.45¢
8/30/2026, 19:55:13 0.2¢
8/30/2026, 19:57:12 0.75¢
8/30/2026, 19:59:12 0.75¢
8/30/2026, 20:01:12 0.35¢
8/30/2026, 20:03:12 0.25¢
8/30/2026, 20:05:12 0.3¢
8/30/2026, 20:07:12 0.5¢
8/30/2026, 20:09:12 0.05¢
8/30/2026, 20:10:13 0.05¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesBuy · Boston Red Sox 8/30/2026, 15:42:36
$110,733 56¢