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Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Action: Sell

Sell
Model edge Mees Rottgering ↓ -8%
Confidence 68%
Price at model run 79¢ Model run: 8/26/2026, 00:00:13
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/26/2026, 01:04:42
Model gpt-5.4-mini

The favorite has rallied hard into the mid/high 0.8s and orderbook is tight, but price already embeds most of the upside; downside risk dominates at 0.79.

Watch triggers
  • Price ran from ~0.35 to ~0.79
  • 1h spike looks stretched
  • No fresh edge at current quote
Action basis

The favorite has rallied hard into the mid/high 0.8s and orderbook is tight, but price already embeds most of the upside; downside risk dominates at 0.79.

Invalidation watch

Price ran from ~0.35 to ~0.79 · 1h spike looks stretched · No fresh edge at current quote

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/26/2026, 01:04:42

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,332,616

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

217.3%

Volatility ?

5.2%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Mees Rottgering

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/26/2026, 00:13:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:15:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:17:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:19:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:21:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:23:14 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:25:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:27:15 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:29:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:31:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:33:13 99.95¢
8/26/2026, 00:35:27 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history
Mees Rottgering ↓ -8% 8/26/2026, 00:00:13

The favorite has rallied hard into the mid/high 0.8s and orderbook is tight, but price already embeds most of the upside; downside risk dominates at 0.79.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Mees Rottgering 8/25/2026, 23:18:13
$118,951 72¢