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Prediction history

Market #3867986

8/26/2026, 00:00:13 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Sell Horizon Short-term Current price 79¢

The favorite has rallied hard into the mid/high 0.8s and orderbook is tight, but price already embeds most of the upside; downside risk dominates at 0.79.

Triggers Price ran from ~0.35 to ~0.79 · 1h spike looks stretched · No fresh edge at current quote
Mees Rottgering bearish ↓ Edge -8% Confidence 68%

Market is priced near 0.79, but the sharp climb looks overextended versus a likely stronger opponent; limited value remains on the favorite at current levels.