Unified market view

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap

Execution state

Watch

Model edge Nuno Borges → -1%

Confidence 48%

Price at model run 34¢ Model run: 9/1/2026, 00:04:26

Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 9/1/2026, 01:59:03

Model OpenAI

Nuno Borges is estimated near a 33% win probability versus the 34% market price. Recent hourly recovery is offset by persistent six-hour, daily, and weekly declines, leaving no material mispricing after accounting for volatility and the narrow spread.

Watch triggers

Reassess after a sustained move outside 0.28-0.38
Update on player fitness or withdrawal risk
Confirm official match scheduling

Why not now

Revisit when

Reassess after a sustained move outside 0.28-0.38 · Update on player fitness or withdrawal risk · Confirm official match scheduling

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity $594,069. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/1/2026, 01:59:03

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$367,924

Liquidity ?

$594,069

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

—

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

10.7%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Nuno Borges

Bids

Asks

0.1¢ 515,671.87

0.9¢ 377

1¢ 67,043.26

2¢ 23

23¢ 60

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/1/2026, 01:33:12 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:35:12 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:37:08 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:39:12 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:41:12 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:43:12 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:45:09 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:47:14 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:49:12 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:51:12 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:53:12 0.05¢

9/1/2026, 01:54:12 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history

Nuno Borges → -1% 9/1/2026, 00:04:26

The estimated probability is close to the market level, while conflicting short- and longer-term momentum signals limit conviction.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.