Thiago Agustin Tirante ↑ +3% 8/31/2026, 00:00:28
Tirante appears slightly below fair value after an extreme repricing, but momentum and uncertainty remain strongly adverse.
Unified market view
US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Data gap
Watch
Model edge Thiago Agustin Tirante ↑ +3%
Confidence 35%
Price at model run 10¢ Model run: 8/31/2026, 00:00:28
Live best ask 8¢ Live update: 8/31/2026, 01:14:57
Model OpenAI
The market has repriced Tirante sharply downward to roughly 11–12%, while substantial bid depth suggests some support and possible overshoot. However, the persistent multi-horizon decline and high recent volatility limit confidence; the estimated probability is only modestly above the quoted price.
Watch triggers
- Tirante bid depth falls materially
- Price breaks below 0.10
- Sustained stabilization above 0.13
Why not now
The market has repriced Tirante sharply downward to roughly 11–12%, while substantial bid depth suggests some support and possible overshoot. However, the persistent multi-horizon decline and high recent volatility limit confidence; the estimated probability is only modestly above the quoted price.
Revisit when
Tirante bid depth falls materially · Price breaks below 0.10 · Sustained stabilization above 0.13
Execution guard
Price 8¢ · spread 2 pts · liquidity $6,102. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 8/31/2026, 01:14:57
Model stance
WatchBest ask ?
8¢Volume (24h) ?
$760,140Liquidity ?
$6,102Open interest ?
—Spread ?
1¢Depth imbalance ?
79.8%Momentum ?
-90.2%Volatility ?
8.1%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Thiago Agustin Tirante
Bids
7¢ 788.26
6¢ 48,058.33
5¢ 1,142.51
4¢ 205.6
3¢ 188.5
Asks
8¢ 662.55
9¢ 1,385.4
10¢ 1,228.2
11¢ 821.9
12¢ 1,568.7
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/31/2026, 00:51:07 8.5¢
8/31/2026, 00:53:23 8.5¢
8/31/2026, 00:55:08 8.5¢
8/31/2026, 00:57:07 8.5¢
8/31/2026, 00:59:07 8.5¢
8/31/2026, 01:01:08 8.5¢
8/31/2026, 01:03:11 8.5¢
8/31/2026, 01:05:07 7.5¢
8/31/2026, 01:07:07 8¢
8/31/2026, 01:09:10 8¢
8/31/2026, 01:11:11 7¢
8/31/2026, 01:12:11 7¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.