Model stance Watch Horizon
Short-term Current price
10¢
The market has repriced Tirante sharply downward to roughly 11–12%, while substantial bid depth suggests some support and possible overshoot. However, the persistent multi-horizon decline and high recent volatility limit confidence; the estimated probability is only modestly above the quoted price.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Tirante bid depth falls materially · Price breaks below 0.10 · Sustained stabilization above 0.13
Thiago Agustin Tirante bullish ↑ Edge
+3% Confidence
35%
The market has repriced Tirante sharply downward to roughly 11–12%, while substantial bid depth suggests some support and possible overshoot. However, the persistent multi-horizon decline and high recent volatility limit confidence; the estimated probability is only modestly above the quoted price.