Unified market view

US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy No

Model leans lower

Execution state

Needs confirmation

Model edge Jesper de Jong ↓ -5%

Confidence 68%

Price at model run 46¢ Model run: 9/2/2026, 00:01:39

Live best ask 45¢ Live update: 9/2/2026, 00:45:49

Model OpenAI

Jesper de Jong is priced around 0.445 at the midpoint, but sustained declines across the 6-hour, 1-day, and 1-week windows, combined with heavier ask depth, suggest a fair probability closer to 0.40. Volatility and limited match-specific information leave meaningful uncertainty.

Watch triggers

Price reclaims 0.50
Ask depth falls materially
New injury or lineup news

Why confirmation is still needed

Revisit when

Price reclaims 0.50 · Ask depth falls materially · New injury or lineup news

Execution guard

Price 45¢ · spread 2 pts · liquidity $11,365. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/2/2026, 00:45:49

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

45¢

Volume (24h) ?

$256,876

Liquidity ?

$11,365

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

3¢

Depth imbalance ?

-17.0%

Momentum ?

-21.2%

Volatility ?

6.0%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Jesper de Jong

Bids

43¢ 325.39

42¢ 415.3

41¢ 218.6

40¢ 2,658

39¢ 293.69

Asks

46¢ 602.8

47¢ 425.9

48¢ 1,040.93

49¢ 2,375.5

50¢ 1,072.7

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/2/2026, 00:24:12 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:26:33 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:28:12 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:30:14 43.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:32:13 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:34:12 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:36:18 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:38:13 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:40:13 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:42:10 44¢

9/2/2026, 00:44:12 44.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:45:13 44.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Jesper de Jong ↓ -5% 9/2/2026, 00:01:39

The primary outcome appears modestly overpriced after a broad downward repricing, with orderbook pressure favoring further weakness.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.