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Prediction history

Market #3962601

9/2/2026, 00:01:39 OpenAI
Model stance Watch Horizon Medium-term Current price 46¢

Jesper de Jong is priced around 0.445 at the midpoint, but sustained declines across the 6-hour, 1-day, and 1-week windows, combined with heavier ask depth, suggest a fair probability closer to 0.40. Volatility and limited match-specific information leave meaningful uncertainty.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Price reclaims 0.50 · Ask depth falls materially · New injury or lineup news
Jesper de Jong bearish ↓ Edge -5% Confidence 68%

Jesper de Jong is priced around 0.445 at the midpoint, but sustained declines across the 6-hour, 1-day, and 1-week windows, combined with heavier ask depth, suggest a fair probability closer to 0.40. Volatility and limited match-specific information leave meaningful uncertainty.