Model stance Watch Horizon
Medium-term Current price
73.5¢
Yes is priced near 73.5% after a sharp multi-horizon rise, while substantial top-level bid depth and strong recent momentum support a slightly higher estimated probability. The one-hour pullback and elevated volatility limit conviction.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Sustained break above 0.815 · One-day momentum turns negative · Bid depth imbalance normalizes
Yes bullish ↑ Edge
+2% Confidence
56%
Yes is priced near 73.5% after a sharp multi-horizon rise, while substantial top-level bid depth and strong recent momentum support a slightly higher estimated probability. The one-hour pullback and elevated volatility limit conviction.