Model stance Watch Horizon
Medium-term Current price
42¢
Yes is priced near 0.42, while strong six-hour and one-day momentum suggests a slightly higher implied probability around 0.45. The recent surge and heavier ask depth increase reversal risk, so the edge remains modest and should be revisited if momentum fades or price falls below 0.38.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Yes price falls below 0.38 · Yes price breaks above 0.46 · Momentum turns negative
Yes bullish ↑ Edge
+3% Confidence
55%
Yes is priced near 0.42, while strong six-hour and one-day momentum suggests a slightly higher implied probability around 0.45. The recent surge and heavier ask depth increase reversal risk, so the edge remains modest and should be revisited if momentum fades or price falls below 0.38.