Model stance Watch Horizon
Medium-term Current price
57¢
The Yes price has rebounded sharply over the past hour but remains in a pronounced one-day and one-week downtrend. Heavy sell-side depth near the ask suggests resistance, while the long time to expiry limits conviction that the current price is materially mispriced.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Sustained Yes price above 0.66 · Yes price falls below 0.58 · Bitcoin approaches or rejects $80,000
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-1% Confidence
56%
The Yes price has rebounded sharply over the past hour but remains in a pronounced one-day and one-week downtrend. Heavy sell-side depth near the ask suggests resistance, while the long time to expiry limits conviction that the current price is materially mispriced.