Boston Red Sox → 0% 9/30/2026, 00:08:13
Without starter, lineup, or injury data, the roughly 46.5% quote and recent order flow show no reliable divergence; reassess when matchup information emerges.
Unified market view
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Model direction
No directional position
Data gapExecution state
Watch
Model edge Boston Red Sox → 0%
Confidence 24%
Price at model run 45.5¢ Model run: 9/30/2026, 00:08:13
Live best ask 2.5¢ Live update: 9/30/2026, 02:48:30
Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · this model version needs at least 30 resolved samples, Brier score ≤ 0.25, and a lower Brier score than the market baseline
Model OpenAI
The quote implies roughly 46.5%, and the available data lacks starter, lineup, and injury information to justify a different fair probability. Recent price gains and bid depth are supportive but not sufficient evidence of an edge.
Watch triggers
- Reassess when probable starters and lineups are known.
- Review if new injury or bullpen information emerges.
- Revisit sustained price moves backed by matchup news.
Why not now
The quote implies roughly 46.5%, and the available data lacks starter, lineup, and injury information to justify a different fair probability. Recent price gains and bid depth are supportive but not sufficient evidence of an edge.
Revisit when
Reassess when probable starters and lineups are known. · Review if new injury or bullpen information emerges. · Revisit sustained price moves backed by matchup news.
Execution guard
Price 2.5¢ · spread 1.4 pts · liquidity $18,571. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 9/30/2026, 02:48:30
Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.
Price & order-book rules
WatchBest ask ?
2.5¢Volume (24h) ?
$1,039,365Liquidity ?
$18,571Open interest ?
$1,242,656Spread ?
0.6¢Depth imbalance ?
76.2%Momentum ?
-98.2%Volatility ?
9.6%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Boston Red Sox
Bids
0.3¢ 110
0.2¢ 903.7
0.1¢ 35,194.11
Asks
0.9¢ 10.03
1¢ 4,186.09
1.4¢ 100
1.8¢ 100
1.9¢ 500
Price history
Interval: 6h
9/30/2026, 02:26:19 8.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:28:18 8.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:30:20 8.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:32:28 6.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:34:30 6.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:36:19 4.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:38:19 2.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:40:21 2.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:42:15 1.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:44:30 1.5¢
9/30/2026, 02:46:30 1.45¢
9/30/2026, 02:47:14 0.8¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesBuy · Over 9/29/2026, 22:25:29
$70,000 46¢