Boston Red Sox → 0% 10/1/2026, 00:01:12
No clear divergence from fair value is supported by the available data, and price trends and order-book depth are inconclusive without matchup details.
Unified market view
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Model direction
No directional position
Data gapExecution state
Watch
Model edge Boston Red Sox → 0%
Confidence 28%
Price at model run 44.5¢ Model run: 10/1/2026, 00:01:12
Live best ask 15¢ Live update: 10/1/2026, 01:47:58
Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · this model version needs at least 30 resolved samples, Brier score ≤ 0.25, and a lower Brier score than the market baseline
Model OpenAI
The 44.5% market price appears broadly reasonable given the limited matchup information; recent downward movement is offset by stronger visible bid depth, neither of which establishes a reliable edge. Starting pitchers and lineups could change the estimate.
Watch triggers
- Confirmed starting pitchers and lineups
- Sustained price move beyond the recent range
- Material change in order-book imbalance
Why not now
The 44.5% market price appears broadly reasonable given the limited matchup information; recent downward movement is offset by stronger visible bid depth, neither of which establishes a reliable edge. Starting pitchers and lineups could change the estimate.
Revisit when
Confirmed starting pitchers and lineups · Sustained price move beyond the recent range · Material change in order-book imbalance
Execution guard
Price 15¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $90,017. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 10/1/2026, 01:47:58
Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.
Price & order-book rules
WatchBest ask ?
15¢Volume (24h) ?
$730,070Liquidity ?
$90,017Open interest ?
$968,627Spread ?
1¢Depth imbalance ?
9.4%Momentum ?
-62.9%Volatility ?
7.2%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Boston Red Sox
Bids
16¢ 80,182.65
15¢ 107,172.46
14¢ 288
13¢ 1,175
12¢ 392
Asks
17¢ 63,883.19
18¢ 78,490.07
19¢ 13,923.93
20¢ 317.62
21¢ 106.88
Price history
Interval: 6h
10/1/2026, 01:26:33 29.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:28:17 29.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:30:17 26.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:32:13 26.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:34:24 24.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:36:19 24.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:38:17 24.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:40:30 25.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:42:13 26.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:44:18 26¢
10/1/2026, 01:46:19 10.5¢
10/1/2026, 01:47:13 16.5¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.