Model stance Watch Horizon
Short-term Current price
19.1¢
Yes is priced around 18.3% at the quoted spread, while the sharp recent rally appears momentum-driven and faces substantial ask-side depth. The estimated probability is modestly lower, though the long horizon and limited fundamental information create material uncertainty.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Ask depth is absorbed · Price holds above 0.20 · New candidate-field information
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-1% Confidence
57%
Yes is priced around 18.3% at the quoted spread, while the sharp recent rally appears momentum-driven and faces substantial ask-side depth. The estimated probability is modestly lower, though the long horizon and limited fundamental information create material uncertainty.