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Unified market view

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Data gap

No data
Model edge No model view
Confidence
Price at model run Model run: —
Live best ask 12.8¢ Live update: 8/14/2026, 04:58:19
Model

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 12.8¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $350,053. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/14/2026, 04:58:19

Signal

Buy

Best ask ?

12.8¢

Volume (24h) ?

$219,179

Liquidity ?

$350,053

Open interest ?

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

18.5%

Momentum ?

3.2%

Volatility ?

1.1%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Momentum turning up
  • Bid depth outweighs asks
  • Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

  • Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
  • Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
  • Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

12.7¢ 8,707.1
12.6¢ 2,727.01
12.5¢ 1,200.1
12.4¢ 5,174.29
12.3¢ 486.1

Asks

12.8¢ 5,834.65
12.9¢ 200
13.4¢ 317
13.6¢ 3,928.38
13.8¢ 2,300

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/14/2026, 04:35:15 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:37:13 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:39:13 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:41:13 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:43:12 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:45:11 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:47:13 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:49:12 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:51:09 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:53:10 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:55:14 12.75¢
8/14/2026, 04:56:14 12.75¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Yes 8/14/2026, 01:03:09
$6,700 13.8¢
Buy · Yes 8/14/2026, 00:48:34
$9,144 12.52¢