Signal Hold Horizon
To expiry Current price
12.8¢
No clear edge versus the current price; orderbook support is real but not enough to justify a trade. Long horizon and political uncertainty dominate short-term signals.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Price near 12.8% with tight spread · Orderbook bid imbalance favors Yes · Recent move is small and mostly range-bound
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-1% Confidence
61%
Rubio is priced around 12.8%, and while there is some bid support, the market has stayed near-flat with no strong catalyst. The high-profile GOP field and long election horizon make the current price look slightly rich rather than underpriced.