Model stance Watch Horizon
Short-term Current price
78.5¢
Yes is priced near 78.5%, while the recent six-hour decline and substantial ask-side depth suggest modest near-term overpricing. Strong weekly momentum supports the underlying case, so the estimated edge is small and uncertain.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Break above 0.81 · Fall below 0.76 · Material polling or candidate news
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-0% Confidence
43%
Yes is priced near 78.5%, while the recent six-hour decline and substantial ask-side depth suggest modest near-term overpricing. Strong weekly momentum supports the underlying case, so the estimated edge is small and uncertain.