Yes ↓ -2% 7/21/2026, 12:02:05
Price has risen quickly, but the current level looks close to fair value given mixed momentum and no clear catalyst evidence. Liquidity is decent, so the edge appears too small to justify a directi...
Unified market view
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Hold: Efficient price
Hold
Model edge Yes ↓ -2%
Confidence 62%
Price at model run 42¢ Model run: 7/21/2026, 12:02:05
Live best ask 38¢ Live update: 7/22/2026, 17:15:33
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Price has risen quickly, but the current level looks close to fair value given mixed momentum and no clear catalyst evidence. Liquidity is decent, so the edge appears too small to justify a directi...
Watch triggers
- Yes price near 0.42 fair zone
- recent 1w rally already priced in
- flattening short-term momentum
Why not now
Price has risen quickly, but the current level looks close to fair value given mixed momentum and no clear catalyst evidence. Liquidity is decent, so the edge appears too small to justify a directi...
Revisit when
Yes price near 0.42 fair zone · recent 1w rally already priced in · flattening short-term momentum
Execution guard
Price 38¢ · spread 2 pts · liquidity $85,698. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 7/22/2026, 17:15:33
Signal
SellBest ask ?
38¢Volume (24h) ?
$179,967Liquidity ?
$85,698Open interest ?
—Spread ?
2¢Depth imbalance ?
-50.5%Momentum ?
-8.6%Volatility ?
0.4%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Momentum turning down
- Ask depth outweighs bids
- Spread within 2¢
Rule notes
- Momentum = price change over the selected interval; negative means price falling.
- Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; negative means asks dominate.
- Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.
Orderbook
Outcome Yes
Bids
36¢ 990.57
35¢ 4,580.29
34¢ 2,490.89
33¢ 128.6
32¢ 495.57
Asks
38¢ 592.95
39¢ 9,146.19
40¢ 10,142.19
41¢ 429.63
42¢ 6,111.27
Price history
Interval: 6h
7/22/2026, 16:53:06 38.5¢
7/22/2026, 16:55:08 38.5¢
7/22/2026, 16:57:06 38.5¢
7/22/2026, 16:59:07 38.5¢
7/22/2026, 17:01:07 38.5¢
7/22/2026, 17:03:06 38.5¢
7/22/2026, 17:05:07 38.5¢
7/22/2026, 17:07:07 38.5¢
7/22/2026, 17:09:07 37¢
7/22/2026, 17:11:08 37¢
7/22/2026, 17:13:07 37¢
7/22/2026, 17:14:06 37¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesBuy · No 7/22/2026, 08:49:55
$44,712 55.98¢
Buy · No 7/22/2026, 08:49:55
$6,042 57¢