Unified market view

Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Sebastian Baez ↑ 0%

Confidence 99%

Price at model run 99.9¢ Model run: 7/22/2026, 12:00:41

Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 7/22/2026, 15:27:36

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Sebastian Baez is priced near certainty, leaving negligible upside and poor reward-risk for new longs.

Watch triggers

bestBid 0.999
bestAsk 1.0
No remaining edge

Why not now

Sebastian Baez is priced near certainty, leaving negligible upside and poor reward-risk for new longs.

Revisit when

bestBid 0.999 · bestAsk 1.0 · No remaining edge

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $0. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 7/22/2026, 15:27:36

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$705,351

Liquidity ?

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

80.1%

Volatility ?

8.1%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Sebastian Baez

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

7/22/2026, 12:00:13 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:01:05 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:02:06 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:03:06 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:04:05 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:05:05 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:06:05 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:07:07 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:08:14 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:09:07 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:10:07 99.95¢

7/22/2026, 12:11:18 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history

Sebastian Baez ↑ 0% 7/22/2026, 12:00:41

Sebastian Baez is priced near certainty, leaving negligible upside and poor reward-risk for new longs.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.