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Prediction history

Market #3018019

7/22/2026, 12:00:41 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon To expiry Current price 99.9¢

Sebastian Baez is priced near certainty, leaving negligible upside and poor reward-risk for new longs.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers bestBid 0.999 · bestAsk 1.0 · No remaining edge
Sebastian Baez bullish ↑ Edge 0% Confidence 99%

Price is already at 0.999 with extreme bid depth and no meaningful ask; edge is effectively exhausted despite strong market consensus.