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預測歷史

Market #1090496

8/21/2026, 00:00:47 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 中線 當前價 32¢

Yes looks a bit overpriced versus the current flow and orderbook; recent momentum is down and liquidity is sufficient for a small bearish lean.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 1h and 6h Yes trend down · No side has stronger bid depth · Current Yes price above top bid/ask mid
Yes 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -4% 置信度 61%

Price near 0.32 implies modest event risk, but the market has been sold off sharply intraday and orderbook favors No; conflict risk remains real, yet current pricing looks slightly rich for Yes.