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統一市場視圖

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。

研究邊界

這是市場情報,不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。

決策狀態

觀察觸發點

觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -3%
置信度 61%
模型運行時價格 82.1¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 12:03:32
即時最佳賣價 82.6¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 17:47:56
模型 gpt-5.4-mini

Current price is near the upper end of the recent range with a tight spread, but I do not see enough mispricing to justify a clear buy or sell.

觀察觸發點
  • Yes price near 0.82-0.83
  • Recent upward drift is modest
  • Spread is tight, but edge is small
為何暫不行動

Current price is near the upper end of the recent range with a tight spread, but I do not see enough mispricing to justify a clear buy or sell.

重新評估條件

Yes price near 0.82-0.83 · Recent upward drift is modest · Spread is tight, but edge is small

執行約束

價格 82.6¢ · 價差 0.4 pts · 流動性 $69,564。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。

概要

更新時間 8/3/2026, 17:47:56

操作建議

觀望

最佳賣價 ?

82.6¢

24h 成交量 ?

$8,463

流動性 ?

$69,564

未平倉量 ?

價差 ?

0.4¢

深度不平衡 ?

11.2%

動量 ?

-0.1%

波動率 ?

0.0%

趨勢斜率 ?

-0

原因

  • 暫無明顯優勢

規則說明

  • 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。

訂單簿

Outcome Yes

買盤

82.2¢ 220.25
82.1¢ 444.31
82¢ 637.77
81.9¢ 250
81.8¢ 1,050

賣盤

82.6¢ 14.07
82.7¢ 107.5
82.8¢ 262.67
82.9¢ 744.21
83¢ 949.97

價格歷史

區間: 6h

8/3/2026, 17:24:12 82.55¢
8/3/2026, 17:26:09 82.45¢
8/3/2026, 17:28:22 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:30:12 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:32:08 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:34:11 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:36:08 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:38:10 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:40:12 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:42:10 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:44:08 82.4¢
8/3/2026, 17:45:11 82.4¢

預測歷史

完整歷史
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 12:03:32

Current price is near the upper end of the recent range with a tight spread, but I do not see enough mispricing to justify a clear buy or sell.

Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 06:03:19

The market looks fairly priced after a recent run-up; there is no strong positive edge to buy at current levels.

Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 00:03:26

No clear mispricing: the incumbent remains favored, but the market price is already high and recent trend/liquidity do not justify a fresh buy at current levels.

Yes ↓ -3% 8/2/2026, 18:03:13

Current price is near a plausible fair range and liquidity is decent, but the spread plus lack of a clear catalyst makes the edge too small to trade aggressively.

Yes ↓ -2% 8/2/2026, 12:02:33

No clear mispricing: Yes is expensive but not decisively overvalued given long-dated political uncertainty and deep liquidity.

相關鯨魚流向

全部成交

目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。