Yes ↓ -2% 2026/9/21 00:04:22
The primary outcome appears slightly above estimated fair value after an unusually rapid repricing.
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
模型方向
模型傾向：看低
資料缺口執行狀態
待確認
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -2%
置信度 42%
模型運行時價格 56.4¢ 模型運行: 2026/9/21 00:04:22
即時最佳賣價 60.1¢ 即時更新: 2026/9/21 01:46:31
模型 OpenAI
Yes is priced around 57.3% at the midpoint after a sharp one-day rally from roughly 34%. The move may reflect new information, but the magnitude and elevated volatility suggest modest overpricing; evidence is insufficient for a strong divergence.
觀察觸發點
- Reassess above 0.62
- Reassess below 0.52
- Monitor credible political developments
為何仍需確認
Yes is priced around 57.3% at the midpoint after a sharp one-day rally from roughly 34%. The move may reflect new information, but the magnitude and elevated volatility suggest modest overpricing; evidence is insufficient for a strong divergence.
重新評估條件
Reassess above 0.62 · Reassess below 0.52 · Monitor credible political developments
執行約束
價格 60.1¢ · 價差 2.1 pts · 流動性 $81,601。模型觀點僅供研究，請結合即時盤口獨立核實。
概要
更新時間 2026/9/21 01:46:31
模型觀點
觀察最佳賣價 ?
60.1¢24h 成交量 ?
$115,755流動性 ?
$81,601未平倉量 ?
$710,861價差 ?
2.1¢深度不平衡 ?
-63.7%動量 ?
9.7%波動率 ?
0.3%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
58¢ 8.62
57.9¢ 10
57.7¢ 30
57.4¢ 62
57.3¢ 491.32
賣盤
60.1¢ 76.49
60.4¢ 10
60.7¢ 50
60.8¢ 1,574.98
60.9¢ 999.98
價格歷史
區間: 6h
2026/9/21 01:23:12 59¢
2026/9/21 01:25:10 59¢
2026/9/21 01:27:13 59¢
2026/9/21 01:29:25 59¢
2026/9/21 01:31:12 59¢
2026/9/21 01:33:12 58.95¢
2026/9/21 01:35:13 59.05¢
2026/9/21 01:37:13 59.05¢
2026/9/21 01:39:10 59.05¢
2026/9/21 01:41:12 59.05¢
2026/9/21 01:43:09 59.05¢
2026/9/21 01:44:09 59.05¢
預測歷史
完整歷史相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。