模型觀點 觀察 時間尺度
短線 當前價
56.4¢
Yes is priced around 57.3% at the midpoint after a sharp one-day rally from roughly 34%. The move may reflect new information, but the magnitude and elevated volatility suggest modest overpricing; evidence is insufficient for a strong divergence.
說明 edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
觸發點 Reassess above 0.62 · Reassess below 0.52 · Monitor credible political developments
Yes 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差
-2% 置信度
42%
Yes is priced around 57.3% at the midpoint after a sharp one-day rally from roughly 34%. The move may reflect new information, but the magnitude and elevated volatility suggest modest overpricing; evidence is insufficient for a strong divergence.