Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 12:02:44
Small negative edge versus the current Yes price, with recent momentum still leaning lower and no strong buy imbalance.
統一市場視圖
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀察觸發點
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -4%
置信度 65%
模型運行時價格 30¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 12:02:44
即時最佳賣價 27¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 17:47:22
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Small negative edge versus the current Yes price, with recent momentum still leaning lower and no strong buy imbalance.
觀察觸發點
- 1w price down 8.5c
- 1h momentum negative
- Ask depth exceeds bid depth
為何暫不行動
Small negative edge versus the current Yes price, with recent momentum still leaning lower and no strong buy imbalance.
重新評估條件
1w price down 8.5c · 1h momentum negative · Ask depth exceeds bid depth
執行約束
價格 27¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $66,718。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 17:47:22
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
27¢24h 成交量 ?
$57,747流動性 ?
$66,718未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
-1.8%動量 ?
-10.2%波動率 ?
1.0%趨勢斜率 ?
-0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
26¢ 5,247.59
25¢ 11,945.48
24¢ 6,969.34
23¢ 4,631.31
22¢ 1,476.64
賣盤
27¢ 84.72
28¢ 5,760.52
29¢ 6,960.43
30¢ 14,334.13
31¢ 4,225.46
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 17:26:09 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:28:22 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:30:12 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:32:08 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:34:11 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:36:08 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:38:10 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:40:12 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:42:10 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:44:08 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:46:11 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:47:11 26.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 06:02:21
No clear edge after accounting for the recent selloff in Yes and modest orderbook balance. Spread is tight, but the market still reflects substantial uncertainty and the current price is near the m...
Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 00:02:38
Slightly bearish versus current Yes price; momentum and book favor No, while liquidity is ample enough to express the view.
Yes ↓ -4% 8/2/2026, 18:01:57
Yes appears slightly overpriced relative to observed momentum and the lack of a clear catalyst for passage/signing within 2026.
Yes ↓ -4% 8/2/2026, 12:02:13
Small bearish edge on Yes at current price, with momentum still drifting lower and no catalyst evidence of imminent passage/signing.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · No 8/3/2026, 13:03:14
$13,178 73.31¢