Yes ↓ -5% 8/3/2026, 18:02:59
Market is efficiently range-bound around a falling Yes price; edge is modest and liquidity is decent, so there is no strong buy or sell at current levels.
統一市場視圖
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀察觸發點
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -5%
置信度 68%
模型運行時價格 26¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 18:02:59
即時最佳賣價 28¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 18:49:31
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Market is efficiently range-bound around a falling Yes price; edge is modest and liquidity is decent, so there is no strong buy or sell at current levels.
觀察觸發點
- Yes price down 11% over 7d
- Orderbook favors No side
- Spread is tight but edge is small
為何暫不行動
Market is efficiently range-bound around a falling Yes price; edge is modest and liquidity is decent, so there is no strong buy or sell at current levels.
重新評估條件
Yes price down 11% over 7d · Orderbook favors No side · Spread is tight but edge is small
執行約束
價格 28¢ · 價差 2 pts · 流動性 $68,133。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 18:49:31
操作建議
賣出最佳賣價 ?
28¢24h 成交量 ?
$57,495流動性 ?
$68,133未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
2¢深度不平衡 ?
-14.7%動量 ?
-8.5%波動率 ?
1.0%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 動量下行
- 賣盤深度占優
- 價差不大（<=2¢）
規則說明
- 動量 = 選定區間內的價格變化，負值代表下行。
- 深度不平衡比較買賣盤總量，負值代表賣盤占優。
- 價差 = 最佳賣價 - 最佳買價，越小越容易進出。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
26¢ 6,186.47
25¢ 13,744.48
24¢ 4,049.16
23¢ 4,636.31
22¢ 1,576.64
賣盤
28¢ 3,447.56
29¢ 9,643.1
30¢ 16,498.27
31¢ 4,364.38
32¢ 6,626.38
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 18:24:11 27.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:26:08 27.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:28:10 26.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:30:12 27¢
8/3/2026, 18:32:11 27¢
8/3/2026, 18:34:10 27¢
8/3/2026, 18:36:08 27¢
8/3/2026, 18:38:12 27¢
8/3/2026, 18:40:22 27¢
8/3/2026, 18:42:10 27¢
8/3/2026, 18:44:11 27¢
8/3/2026, 18:45:08 27¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 12:02:44
Small negative edge versus the current Yes price, with recent momentum still leaning lower and no strong buy imbalance.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 06:02:21
No clear edge after accounting for the recent selloff in Yes and modest orderbook balance. Spread is tight, but the market still reflects substantial uncertainty and the current price is near the m...
Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 00:02:38
Slightly bearish versus current Yes price; momentum and book favor No, while liquidity is ample enough to express the view.
Yes ↓ -4% 8/2/2026, 18:01:57
Yes appears slightly overpriced relative to observed momentum and the lack of a clear catalyst for passage/signing within 2026.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · No 8/3/2026, 13:03:14
$13,178 73.31¢